Airlines in Germany will need over 900 new aircraft (passenger aircraft above 100 seats and freighters) over the next 20 years, according to the latest Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF). These additional aircraft will include some 600 short haul, single-aisle aircraft, more than 200 twin-aisle, medium to long-range wide-body aircraft and nearly 100 very large aircraft and freighters. These new aircraft are valued US$ 109 billion at list prices. The main drivers for these investments are the growing demand for air travel and the ambition to operate the most modern and eco-efficient fleets. Out of the existing German aircraft fleet today only 40 will still be in service by 2026. As a result, Germany's aircraft fleet is expected to more than double, growing from over 500 aircraft in operation in 2006 to more than 1,100 by 2026. In terms of new passenger and freighter aircraft deliveries, Germany will rank 5th in the world.
Fully in line with the Western European and world's average aviation growth Germany's air travel has grown by 37 per cent from 2000 to 2007. The main drivers were international routes from Germany to the Middle East (+ 138 %), Central Europe (+ 129 %), the CIS (+ 65 %) and Asia (+51 %). Over the next 20 years Western Europe is expected to show average annual growth rates of 4.9 per cent, also in line with the global trend. Routes to the Middle East (+ 7.6 %), the CIS (+ 7,2 %), Latin-America (+6.2 %) and Asia-Pacific (+ 5.9 %) will be the most important levers for growth. Germany's strong and growing demand for air travel is based on its continued economic development, growing tourism, and the emergence of Low Cost Carriers which have grown in terms of scheduled capacity from around a two per cent market share ten years ago to 38 per cent today.
Eight airlines (Air Berlin group (incl. LTU), Blue Wings, Condor, Germanwings, Hamburg International, Lufthansa and XL Airways Germany) as well as the German Air Force currently rely on the excellence of Airbus's modern product range, operating 286 modern, fuel efficient and environmentally friendly Airbus aircraft (190 A320 Family aircraft, 21 A300/A310s and 75 A330/A340s). They make up 49 per cent of today's fleet in Germany. 170 aircraft are still in the Airbus backlog for delivery (138 A320 Family aircraft, 17 A330/A340s and 15 A380). Lufthansa is not only Germany's but also the world's biggest Airbus customer by an airline.
"Germany is and remains a key market for Airbus, with impressive economic growth figures and strong and constant international and domestic demand." says Laurent Rouaud, Airbus Vice President Market Forecasts and Research. "Definitely the development of long haul and short haul routes will continue to grow, with the A380, the brand new A350 XWB, the successful A330/A340 Family and the best-selling A320 Family responding perfectly to the market needs. Moreover our modern product range is setting the benchmark in eco-efficiency, delivering more value with less environmental impact at lower operational cost."
To offset the aviation's predicted growth from its environmental impact, Airbus is making significant investments in research, technology and innovation. The objective is to continue to build the most eco-efficient aircraft possible. Results are already visible: Today the A380 offers a fuel efficiency of less than three litres per passenger and 100 kilometres and so will the new A350 XWB. In addition Airbus is supporting the ACARE vision to reduce CO2-emissions by 50 per cent, Nitrous Oxides by 80 per cent and perceived noise by 50 per cent by 2020.
Sensitive to its position as an industry leader, Airbus strives to be a truly eco-efficient enterprise. In this context Airbus has performed the world's first alternative fuel flight with a civil airliner, an Airbus A380. "This flight with a Gas-to-Liquid (GTL) fuel and the successful test of a zero-emission fuel cell on board an A320 are concrete demonstrations of the company's commitment to enhance the aviation sector's eco-efficiency, creating more value with less environmental impact", says Philippe Fonta, Head of Sustainable Development and Eco-Efficiency at Airbus.
Airbus is the first aeronautics company in the world to have earned the ISO 14001 environmental certification for all production sites and products for their entire life cycle.
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Read the feature stories on Airbus' Global Market Forecast for the following countries/regions:
Global Market Forecast for North America
Global Market Forecast for Russia
Global Market Forecast for the Nordic countries
Global Market Forecast for Spain
Global Market Forecast for Mexico
Global Market Forecast for Brazil
Global Market Forecast for the Chinese Mainland
Global Market Forecast for Argentina
Global Market Forecast for Central Europe
See the special Airbus website section with thecomplete 2007-2026 Global Market Forecast